Tripartite rounds: The Inside story *
Pomp and arrogance as forum becomes a battle ground for member countries
* Uganda , Rwanda battle over PRA
* Burundi withdraws her negative forces list
*DRC, Rwanda disagree over Gen. Nkunda’s inclusion on the negative forces list WHEN Rwanda, Uganda, Burundi and the Democratic Republic of Congo convened in Washington D.C for the first round table talks in 2004, there was much hope for peace in the region.
The formation of the Tripartite Plus Joint Commission at this time, with facilitation of the United States of America, was seen as a new ray of hope in the stabilization of the Great Lakes Region plagued by civil wars.
Indeed, in the first phase of negotiations the parties seemed to be reaching consensus on most of the pressing issues. The countries were quickly living in harmony.
However, the countries are currently making no headway in this platform. Actually as the talks progress the states seem to have had enough of the talking than real action on the ground. In fact, there seems to be a much more contrast between what is agreed upon in theory and what goes on in practice. The behind the scene actions are taking a center stage, expressing hypocrisy, arrogance and intrigues among the member states. The case in point is DRC’s continual support of Rwanda’s ex-FAR, Interahamwe and other negative forces destabilizing her neighbors like LRA,and ADF of Uganda.
The Rwandan and DRC governments are battling it out over the latter’s halt of military operations against negative forces using Congo soil to fight Kigali.
Rwanda says Congo’s decision to halt military pressure on negative forces is entirely undermining the threats caused by these militias.
On the other side, however, the Ugandan and Rwandan establishments are embroiled in a bitter dispute over the approval of People’s Redemption Army (PRA) on the list of most wanted persons.
Others negative forces already approved include among others the Lord's Resistance Army (LRA), FDLR, ADF/NALU, FNL, MLC and FLEC.
Although Uganda played a big role in the signing of the list of wanted persons for other member states that include Congo, Rwanda and Burundi, it has up to now failed to secure a nod on the inclusion of PRA, link to the Ugandan opposition leader of Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) Rtd Col Kiza Besigye on the common list of negative forces.Some critics in the country and observers in the region think the issue of PRA was a creation of Ugandan intellegence aimed at silancing the main opposition and in this case Besigye. He is a former personal physician and ally of President Museveni during and after the 1980-86 Ugandan Bush war,turned political enemy.
The wrangling, particularly, between Rwanda and Uganda on this matter seems to have affected the two countries’ seemingly improving relations that were dirtied by the three consecutive crashes between the two armies (RDF and UPDF respectively).
Uganda wants the rebel group and its commanders included on the list of most wanted but Kigali insists that the intelligence details provided on the negative force are insufficient.
Kampala's "order of battle" or OB as commonly referred to in the security circles, giving detailed operations of PRA as provided to the Kisangani based Intelligence Fusion Cell (IFC) was not adding up, at least according to Rwanda.
"Actually it is not Uganda that is supposed to provide the order of battle on PRA. The OB has to come from IFC, which the fusion cell has not done yet," the Special Presidential Advisor in the Great Lakes Dr Richard Sezibera said.
Dr Sezibera says that unless the tripartite fusion cell comes out with the common order of battle on PRA like they have done on all other negative forces in the region, the issue will remain hanging.
Uganda has listed Samson Mande, Anthony Kyakabare and Edison Muzoora as leaders of PRA.
Although Uganda has tried to show the location, command and control and capacity of the insurgents in the order of battle as requested in the previous meetings, including the one held in DRC’s second largest city of Lubumbashi on July 7, Kigali 's intelligence has made it clear, the report is scanty.
If Kigali authorities, including its foreign affairs minister Dr Charles Murigande, agreed that PRA was a threat to Uganda 's peace and security as well as that of the entire region in the previous tripartite plus forums, it becomes very complex to trace the origin of new orders. This makes it even very tricky for Kigali that has consistly been accused by Ugandan authorities for supporting PRA.
Actually Kampala authorities say the action signals self-interests of some of the countries in the Congo war.
"If there are no bad intentions behind the whole issue Rwanda should come out openly to tell us where the problem is. We are not ready to stop demanding for the inclusion of PRA on the common list," a senior Ugandan security official said, in a statement sent to the TFC.
PRA CrisisA Ugandan diplomat confirmed the bickering but said, the issue is something that will have to be addressed peacefully.
The Ugandan Ambassador to Rwanda, Richard Kabonero said that a win-win solution should be the bottom line in the ongoing political negotiations.
"We have provided all there is to provide on PRA," he says.
To prevent further resentment that would lead to an eventual deadlock in the talks the Tripartite member countries were forced to halt further debate on the rebel group at the recent TPC meeting in Kampala.
According to sources that participated in this meeting Uganda bowed to the decision merely to give room for the consideration of other issues. But the fact remains it is a ‘banked’ grievance.
Unless the countries agree on the existence of PRA, which Rwanda seems not to accept then the little progress made may be lost and the Tripartite plus framework devalued, experts say, adding that there seems to be a lot of mistrust and deception on part of some members who agree to please the facilitators but end up doing the contrary at the end of the day.
"In this scenario the parties should reflect on the Uganda-Congo progress on the most wanted list issue," a source said.
In March this year Uganda convinced DR Congo authorities to drop the names of her minister and a permanent secretary from a "most-wanted persons" list drawn up under the auspices of the Tripartite Plus Joint Commission.
Prior to the agreement between Uganda and Congo on the common list the Kinshasa government had listed Micro-finance State Minister Salim Saleh and the late Defence PS Noble Mayombo (RIP) on Kinshasa 's list of wanted men.
At a meeting of the security sub commission of the TPJC in Kigali last year, according to high placed source, delegations from DRC and Uganda "negotiated until midnight," but Congolese authorities were not bending.
At this meeting, where Uganda 's technical team was led by Octavious Buturo, the deputy chief of Military Intelligence "ended without agreement," the source said, further revealing that DRC wanted the duo indicted for allegedly plundering of Congo 's natural resources during the civil wars and internecine upheavals in the late 1990s.
The Ugandan armed forces entered the DRC in 1998 to fight insurgents who the government said were destabilising Uganda from eastern DRC.
Now under the TPJC arrangement, Burundi , Rwanda , Uganda and the DRC were required to compile a list of "most wanted persons" that is agreeable to all member states.
This list will then be handed over to the African Union and the United Nations to apprehend them.
If the names of the dissidents are forwarded to the Security Council together with the others, they risk being blacklisted by the international community, which usually involves a freeze on assets held outside their home country and a travel ban.
Although the TPJC had hoped to send a complete list of the most-wanted persons in the Great Lakes region to the U.N. Security Council months ago, there is still no indication of a solution in sight.
While Rwanda , Burundi and DRC had agreed on the final lists the countries seem to be going back to the drawing board and the coupled with the ongoing stalemate it could weaken the TPJC, a partnership created to achieve synergy in combating threats to regional security.
Burundi withdraws
Actually it becomes even more challenging at this time when Burundi has withdrawn its list of most wanted persons.
According to sources that participated in the Kampala Tripartite Plus Commission meeting in Kampala on September 15-17, Burundian authorities decided to retract their list allegedly to give chance to political dialogue.
Since the Nkurunziza government started talks to the country’s main threat- FNL PALPEHUTU rebel group, it sees a shot at peace under the ongoing ceasefire.
And, subjecting the rebel group for consideration as a threat would be undermining the peace talks, a move that could spark off fury putting the country at war again.
Other issues that cast uncertainty over the cause of the Tripartite Plus Commission of ending the treat to regional peace and security from negative forces include the putting into order of Congolese armed forces and agreeing on the role of dissident Gen. Laurent Nkunda.
During the recent ministerial meeting in Kampala, it was agreed that the Congolese armed forces (brassage) should be integrated so that they may act against negative forces and assure the security of the local population.
Member delegations appealed to the United Nations Mission to the DRC (Monuc) to intensify efforts in collaboration with Congolese armed forces (FARDC) to eliminate the negative forces through full application of its mandate.
According to the final communiqué all delegations expressed concern about the deteriorating security conditions in eastern Congo, in particular the destabilizing roles of former General Laurent Nkunda and the ex-FAR/Interahamwe.
However, while the countries recognize threats caused by Gen. Nkunda, Rwanda ’s opinion on both the renegade general and MONUC is indifferent.
President Paul Kagame told a press conference in Kigali recently that he held almost all the blame over the escalation of war in Congo on MONUC. On the other hand the Rwandan head of state said that Nkunda is fighting a legitimate war.
In this regard Kagame proposed that millions of dollars spent on the UN peacekeeping mission in DRC should be given to the people to develop themselves or be invested in infrastructure "because MONUC cannot create peace where it isn’t".
Rwanda’s support for Nkunda as portrayed in this scenario by Mr Kagame as well as the view on the UN mission in Congo give an open contradiction on the way forward.
This contradiction is so close to that of Uganda and the DRC.
Ugandan president Yoweri Museveni met with his DRC counterpart Joseph Kabila in Ngurdoto, Arusha , Tanzania on September 7-8, and among others agreed to resolve their differences peacefully.
This much publicized round between Museveni and Kabila was reported to have made far reaching resolutions but, only a few days after the Ngurdoto summit, the Congolese army attacked Uganda on Lake Albert.
Meanwhile as the tripartite plus joint commission negotiations at the political level continue to be marred by accusations and counter accusations the army in this forum has neither made significant progress.
The meeting of Chiefs of General Staff that convened in Bujumbura, the Burundian capital on April 18, 2007 developed actions against negative forces.
The army chiefs developed four scenarios for offensive operations with consensus that military operations against negative forces are imperative in order to restore sustainable peace and stability in the region.
Military scenarios
Among the scenarios created in Bujumbura include Actions taken by the DRC Defense forces, separate planned operations with respect for sovereignty, combined phased operations (joint military action) and appeal to the international community.
But up to now DRC is sticking to scenario one.
Despite constant requests by other member countries to consider other scenarios such as separate planned operations Kinshasa wants more time to exhaust the first package.
But then Congo is also skeptical about offering her soil for battle as stipulated in subsequent scenarios of military action given the implications-foreign army clashes, increased civil war, suffering of Congolese and plunder of her resources may be the order of the day like case was in the past.
The 1998-2002 conflict in eastern DRC, which also involved several other African countries and is generally seen as Africa 's first continental war, directly or indirectly cost over three million lives.
Under scenario one, DRC maintains it will continue to commit its defense forces with support of Tripartite Plus intelligence services to intensify operations against negative forces on its territory.
Most of the member states seem not to be happy with this position and unless alternatives are provided in the process as Kinshasa starts to halt attacks on insurgents then the country risks being invaded silently and this would be another serious disaster and a blow to the talks and the facilitator who has committed a lot of money for her tax payers in hope of stability.
And, unless the member states agree on common modalities and hitches affecting the progress of dialogue such as the PRA, FDRL rebels and the Gen. Nkunda question as soon as possible, the Tripartite Plus Commission will cease to be a peace creating mechanism but rather a talking shop for peddling blamegames and drawing lines of battle/ war.